Risk capacity vs risk tolerance
Risk capacity is your objective ability to absorb a loss without derailing your plan. Risk tolerance is your subjective comfort with volatility. The mistake most people make is letting tolerance set allocation when capacity should set it.
A 32-year-old with 35 years of human capital ahead of them has nearly unlimited risk capacity, regardless of how a 30% drawdown would feel. A 62-year-old retiring next year has very little capacity, even if they say 'I can handle volatility.'
- Long horizon + stable income = high risk capacity
- Near-retirement window = sequence-of-returns vulnerability
- Build the 'bond tent' 5–10 years before retiring, not the day after
